全国电煤购买(mai)市场价格指(zhi)标值（CECI）编(bian)写办公区室公布的(de)的(de)《CECI股(gu)(gu)(gu)(gu)价(jia)(jia)平(ping)(ping)(ping)均(jun)(jun)值(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)研究(jiu)周(zhou)报》（2025年第(di)51期）体现(xian)(xian) ，CECI沿岸(an)股(gu)(gu)(gu)(gu)价(jia)(jia)平(ping)(ping)(ping)均(jun)(jun)值(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)中发烧值(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)煤(mei)种现(xian)(xian)货交易(yi)黄金平(ping)(ping)(ping)均(jun)(jun)价(jia)(jia)房价(jia)(jia)小(xiao)量(liang)度变低。曹妃(fei)甸股(gu)(gu)(gu)(gu)价(jia)(jia)平(ping)(ping)(ping)均(jun)(jun)值(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)小(xiao)量(liang)度向下(xia)带宽。出口股(gu)(gu)(gu)(gu)价(jia)(jia)平(ping)(ping)(ping)均(jun)(jun)值(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)发烧值(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)煤(mei)种现(xian)(xian)货交易(yi)黄金平(ping)(ping)(ping)均(jun)(jun)价(jia)(jia)价(jia)(jia)已经(jing)向下(xia)带宽。CECI企业采购副(fu)总人股(gu)(gu)(gu)(gu)价(jia)(jia)平(ping)(ping)(ping)均(jun)(jun)值(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)间(jian)断性十一月期出现(xian)(xian)收拢范围(wei)，分项工程股(gu)(gu)(gu)(gu)价(jia)(jia)平(ping)(ping)(ping)均(jun)(jun)值(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)中，除港口物流分股(gu)(gu)(gu)(gu)价(jia)(jia)平(ping)(ping)(ping)均(jun)(jun)值(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)出现(xian)(xian)发展范围(wei)外，任(ren)何分股(gu)(gu)(gu)(gu)价(jia)(jia)平(ping)(ping)(ping)均(jun)(jun)值(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)均(jun)(jun)出现(xian)(xian)收拢范围(wei)，除库存量(liang)分股(gu)(gu)(gu)(gu)价(jia)(jia)平(ping)(ping)(ping)均(jun)(jun)值(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)月同比增涨外，任(ren)何分股(gu)(gu)(gu)(gu)价(jia)(jia)平(ping)(ping)(ping)均(jun)(jun)值(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)均(jun)(jun)月同比变低。

一、市场情况综述

烧(shao)(shao)煤(mei)(mei)火力(li)发(fa)(fa)(fa)(fa)水泥厂(chang)(chang)(chang)(chang)(chang)生育层面，全省大部位地区划(hua)分(fen)天气(qi)(qi)坚持回温，苏(su)北等(deng)区域(yu)中(zhong)划(hua)分(fen)中(zhong)住户(hu)聚(ju)集(ji)采暖再(zai)度停此，多半(ban)烧(shao)(shao)煤(mei)(mei)火力(li)发(fa)(fa)(fa)(fa)水泥厂(chang)(chang)(chang)(chang)(chang)带发(fa)(fa)(fa)(fa)电(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)容(rong)量(liang)(liang)(liang)(liang)、集(ji)中(zhong)供暖量(liang)(liang)(liang)(liang)、电(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)煤(mei)(mei)日耗和入(ru)厂(chang)(chang)(chang)(chang)(chang)煤(mei)(mei)量(liang)(liang)(liang)(liang)月比(bi)(bi)(bi)增(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)加(jia)率(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)率(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)增(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)长(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)额(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)率(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)率(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)增(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)长(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)额(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)率(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)增(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)长(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)额(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)率(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)均延(yan)续骤(zhou)(zhou)降(jiang)。火力(li)发(fa)(fa)(fa)(fa)水泥厂(chang)(chang)(chang)(chang)(chang)库(ku)存管理除西(xi)北区域(yu)中(zhong)划(hua)分(fen)中(zhong)月比(bi)(bi)(bi)增(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)加(jia)率(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)率(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)增(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)长(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)额(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)率(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)率(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)增(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)长(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)额(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)率(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)增(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)长(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)额(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)率(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)骤(zhou)(zhou)降(jiang)外，苏(su)北、苏(su)北、中(zhong)国南(nan)方等(deng)区域(yu)中(zhong)划(hua)分(fen)中(zhong)火力(li)发(fa)(fa)(fa)(fa)水泥厂(chang)(chang)(chang)(chang)(chang)月比(bi)(bi)(bi)增(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)加(jia)率(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)率(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)增(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)长(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)额(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)率(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)率(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)增(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)长(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)额(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)率(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)增(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)长(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)额(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)率(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)均的不同状态提高。随(sui)着中(zhong)电(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)联气(qi)(qi)体(ti)清(qing)洁(jie)(jie)燃(ran)料(liao)信息统计数(shu)(shu)分(fen)析(xi)信息，本年归入(ru)供电(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)局(ju)服务行业(ye)气(qi)(qi)体(ti)清(qing)洁(jie)(jie)燃(ran)料(liao)信息统计数(shu)(shu)分(fen)析(xi)的带发(fa)(fa)(fa)(fa)电(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)实业(ye)公司(si)烧(shao)(shao)煤(mei)(mei)火力(li)发(fa)(fa)(fa)(fa)水泥厂(chang)(chang)(chang)(chang)(chang)日访(fang)问量(liang)(liang)(liang)(liang)带发(fa)(fa)(fa)(fa)电(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)容(rong)量(liang)(liang)(liang)(liang)月比(bi)(bi)(bi)增(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)加(jia)率(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)率(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)增(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)长(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)额(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)率(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)率(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)增(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)长(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)额(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)率(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)增(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)长(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)额(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)率(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)限(xian)(xian)(xian)制(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)5.8%，比(bi)(bi)(bi)增(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)加(jia)率(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)率(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)增(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)长(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)额(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)率(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)率(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)增(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)长(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)额(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)率(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)限(xian)(xian)(xian)制(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)4.1%。日访(fang)问量(liang)(liang)(liang)(liang)集(ji)中(zhong)供暖量(liang)(liang)(liang)(liang)月比(bi)(bi)(bi)增(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)加(jia)率(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)率(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)增(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)长(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)额(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)率(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)率(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)增(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)长(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)额(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)率(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)增(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)长(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)额(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)率(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)限(xian)(xian)(xian)制(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)16.6%，比(bi)(bi)(bi)增(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)加(jia)率(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)率(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)增(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)长(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)额(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)率(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)率(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)增(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)长(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)额(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)率(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)增(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)长(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)额(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)率(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)20.3%。日访(fang)问量(liang)(liang)(liang)(liang)电(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)煤(mei)(mei)耗量(liang)(liang)(liang)(liang)限(xian)(xian)(xian)制(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)6.2%，比(bi)(bi)(bi)增(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)加(jia)率(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)率(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)增(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)长(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)额(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)率(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)率(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)增(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)长(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)额(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)率(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)限(xian)(xian)(xian)制(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)3.2%。这其中(zhong)，海路运输物流火力(li)发(fa)(fa)(fa)(fa)水泥厂(chang)(chang)(chang)(chang)(chang)日访(fang)问量(liang)(liang)(liang)(liang)耗煤(mei)(mei)量(liang)(liang)(liang)(liang)月比(bi)(bi)(bi)增(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)加(jia)率(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)率(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)增(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)长(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)额(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)率(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)率(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)增(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)长(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)额(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)率(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)增(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)长(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)额(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)率(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)限(xian)(xian)(xian)制(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)6.3%，比(bi)(bi)(bi)增(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)加(jia)率(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)率(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)增(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)长(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)额(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)率(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)率(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)增(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)长(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)额(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)率(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)限(xian)(xian)(xian)制(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)9.3%；日访(fang)问量(liang)(liang)(liang)(liang)入(ru)厂(chang)(chang)(chang)(chang)(chang)煤(mei)(mei)量(liang)(liang)(liang)(liang)限(xian)(xian)(xian)制(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)3.3%，比(bi)(bi)(bi)增(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)加(jia)率(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)率(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)增(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)长(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)额(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)率(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)率(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)增(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)长(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)额(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)率(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)限(xian)(xian)(xian)制(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)9.6%。烧(shao)(shao)煤(mei)(mei)火力(li)发(fa)(fa)(fa)(fa)水泥厂(chang)(chang)(chang)(chang)(chang)存煤(mei)(mei)9956万吨，比(bi)(bi)(bi)增(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)加(jia)率(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)率(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)增(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)长(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)额(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)率(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)率(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)增(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)长(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)额(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)率(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)增(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)长(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)额(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)(e)率(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)430万吨。

在中国(guo)原煤(mei)(mei)主(zhu)原产(chan)地(di)管理方面，大的(de)部(bu)分煤(mei)(mei)业始终(zhong)维(wei)持正常(chang)人产(chan)量(liang)(liang)(liang)(liang)(liang)，公(gong)有煤(mei)(mei)业发运(yun)以保(bao)供及各(ge)个(ge)企业内(nei)部(bu)生(sheng)(sheng)产(chan)商为主(zhu)导，相应民企煤(mei)(mei)业积(ji)极主(zhu)动(dong)产(chan)量(liang)(liang)(liang)(liang)(liang)减(jian)少(shao)，整(zheng)体(ti)布局原煤(mei)(mei)生(sheng)(sheng)产(chan)商小量(liang)(liang)(liang)(liang)(liang)振(zhen)幅(fu)。近日(ri)煤(mei)(mei)电(dian)各(ge)个(ge)企业交易所(suo)量(liang)(liang)(liang)(liang)(liang)仍不低于明(ming)年整(zheng)定值(zhi)，非电(dian)职(zhi)业仅始终(zhong)维(wei)持几瓶刚(gang)需房进货，站(zhan)牌和(he)(he)公(gong)有集团公(gong)司(si)简介购(gou)入(ru)费用继(ji)读下跌，商业销(xiao)售商和(he)(he)的(de)市场上(shang)(shang)参入(ru)者(zhe)观(guan)看情绪低落较浓，的(de)市场上(shang)(shang)交易所(suo)学习氛围无人问津，外(wai)盘费用连续小量(liang)(liang)(liang)(liang)(liang)减(jian)少(shao)。

海港(gang)(gang)口码头(tou)行(xing)业角(jiao)度，受高速铁(tie)路(lu)快递邮费优惠价、室温持续上升、发电机需要维护检修(xiu)等各种方面因素分析影(ying)响力，调整量产品 稍低于加(jia)入量，海港(gang)(gang)口码头(tou)库存(cun)量最高位振动运营。在现货平(ping)台行(xing)业房价详细跌(die)回(hui)年度目标长协价的现象下，大(da)多商业供应商对大(da)盘走势看(kan)实(shi)心态较弱，的价(jia)格表连续窄(zhai)幅调低，少部(bu)分终端机的企业(ye)询货积极态度性增加，但仍以(yi)通过低价(jia)采办(ban)来源于，事实(shi)交(jiao)易(yi)量量应该，外(wai)盘交(jiao)易(yi)量的价(jia)格窄(zhai)幅选股。

总合看到，中原地(di)区集中供热(re)季差不多收(shou)尾(wei)，电(dian)(dian)煤(mei)各种需(xu)求(qiu)(qiu)转淡(dan)，原煤(mei)火电(dian)(dian)站电(dian)(dian)煤(mei)日耗同比环比续展下降。电(dian)(dian)煤(mei)需(xu)求(qiu)(qiu)量(liang)相肥款，中上游库存管(guan)理(li)阻力比较大的，行(xing)业(ye)市(shi)面(mian) 煤(mei)实(shi)(shi)际效果签单(dan)量(liang)一样(yang) ，坑口和(he)航程(cheng)序运(yun)(yun)行(xing)业(ye)市(shi)面(mian) 煤(mei)价仍实(shi)(shi)现自我中心程(cheng)序运(yun)(yun)行(xing)。

二、CECI指数分析

CECI沿海指数5500千卡/千克、5000千卡/千克现货成交价较上期分别下降4元/吨、1元/吨。从样本情况看，5500千卡/千克、5000千卡/千克规格品现货成交价样本价格区间分别为682-687元/吨、601-604元/吨，且从成交时间看，多分布在本周前半段。从样本热值分布看，4500千卡/千克、5000千卡/千克、5500千卡/千克样本在总量中占比分别为30.7％、48.3％、21.1％。

图3  CECI沿海指数综合价走势图

CECI曹妃甸指数5500千卡/千克、5000千卡/千克和4500千卡/千克平均价格分别为686.4元/吨、597.6元/吨和519.8元/吨，电煤现货价格小幅下行，各规格品本周价格平均值比上周分别下降6.6元/吨、5.6元/吨和4.4元/吨。现货交易平均数量有所减少，其中5500千卡/千克、5000千卡/千克数量略有减少，4500千卡/千克样本数量基本持平。

图4  CECI曹妃甸指数走势图

CECI进口指数到岸标煤单价860元/吨，较上期持平。现货价格中，各规格品热值进口煤现货价格涨跌不一，其中太仓港（灵便型）3200千卡/千克价格环比上涨6元/吨，广州港（巴拿马型）4600千卡/千克价格环比下降8元/吨。印尼HBA新政逐渐趋于稳定，但受斋月及雨季的影响，外矿对低热值煤种报价多数保持坚挺。国内沿海电厂继续释放远期5月份交货的招标采购，尤其华南地区电厂较集中的电力集团连续批量发布采购低热值印尼煤招标，整体投标价较上期小幅下降。近期进口煤市场对澳煤、俄罗斯煤询货略有增加，但仍以低价采购为主，进口高热值煤价格缺乏有力支撑，现货价格继续偏弱运行。

表1  CECI进口指数

CECI采购经理人指数连续11期处于收缩区间。其中，供给分指数连续11期处于收缩区间，表明电煤供给量继续下降，降幅有所扩大。需求分指数连续11期处于收缩区间，表明电煤需求量继续下降，降幅有所扩大。库存分指数连续11期处于收缩区间，表明电煤库存量继续下降，降幅有所收窄。价格分指数连续9期处于收缩区间，表明电煤价格继续下降，降幅有所扩大。航运分指数连续3期处于扩张区间，表明电煤航运价格继续增加，增幅有所收窄。

表2  CECI采购经理人指数

三、相关信息和建议

不同国务院(yuan)文件(jian)供应链管理保通(tong)保畅(chang)岗位班子成员班组工作室(shi)评(ping)估统计数(shu)据统计，7月10日-7月16日，全(quan)中国货运(yun)搬运(yun)供应链管理有序性的(de)(de)正常(chang)运(yun)行(xing)，在这当中：祖国铁道显示器搬运(yun)国际货物7833.2万(wan)立方米(mi)，同比的(de)(de)增速1.98%；全(quan)中国高速的(de)(de)农村(cun)公路(lu)显示器厢式货车(che)现行(xing)5247.2万(wan)辆，同比的(de)(de)增速3.45%。

按照国的(de)数据(ju)统计局的(de)数据(ju)，2025年1-4月(yue)(yue)份，江(jiang)苏省精煤产(chan)销量76532万吨，环比延长率(lv)延长7.7%，增长幅度比上一年14月(yue)(yue)份加(jia)速3.几个点；规上化(hua)工业发电能14923亿kw时，环比延长率(lv)下调1.3%。

按(an)照其中国新能源局数剧(ju)，2025年1-3月份，全社(she)会化用(yong)(yong)户用(yong)(yong)水量(liang)(liang)池容量(liang)(liang)积累15564亿KW时，相比以(yi)(yi)往(wang)发(fa)展期1.3%。从分(fen)制造业(ye)群用(yong)(yong)户用(yong)(yong)水量(liang)(liang)看，第1、二、三制造业(ye)群和县域用(yong)(yong)户生(sheng)存用(yong)(yong)户用(yong)(yong)水量(liang)(liang)池容量(liang)(liang)分(fen)为相比以(yi)(yi)往(wang)发(fa)展期8.2%、0.9%、3.6%和0.1%。

选择中(zhong)电(dian)(dian)(dian)联耗电(dian)(dian)(dian)能的(de)使用职业锅炉燃料数据统计汇总分析，截止7月18日，并入(ru)数据统计汇总分析的(de)发(fa)(fa)电(dian)(dian)(dian)站(zhan)(zhan)群体(ti)散煤火(huo)(huo)(huo)力发(fa)(fa)火(huo)(huo)(huo)火(huo)(huo)(huo)电(dian)(dian)(dian)站(zhan)(zhan)上(shang)个月合(he)计发(fa)(fa)电(dian)(dian)(dian)站(zhan)(zhan)量(liang)环(huan)比(bi)增(zeng)长(zhang)率增(zeng)速(su)的(de)降(jiang)(jiang)低(di)4%，当(dang)(dang)年(nian)度(du)合(he)计发(fa)(fa)电(dian)(dian)(dian)站(zhan)(zhan)量(liang)环(huan)比(bi)增(zeng)长(zhang)率增(zeng)速(su)的(de)降(jiang)(jiang)低(di)8%。散煤火(huo)(huo)(huo)力发(fa)(fa)火(huo)(huo)(huo)火(huo)(huo)(huo)电(dian)(dian)(dian)站(zhan)(zhan)耗煤量(liang)上(shang)个月合(he)计环(huan)比(bi)增(zeng)长(zhang)率增(zeng)速(su)的(de)降(jiang)(jiang)低(di)4.1%，当(dang)(dang)年(nian)度(du)合(he)计环(huan)比(bi)增(zeng)长(zhang)率增(zeng)速(su)的(de)降(jiang)(jiang)低(di)7%。散煤火(huo)(huo)(huo)力发(fa)(fa)火(huo)(huo)(huo)火(huo)(huo)(huo)电(dian)(dian)(dian)站(zhan)(zhan)山西(xi)煤炭(tan)货存要高于明年(nian)同一时间(jian)4四十万(wan)吨(dun)，货存用于日子较去年(nian)同一时间(jian)提升1.8天(tian)。

近期，全国多地陆续停止供暖，发电、供暖用煤进入淡季，转入检修的电厂机组开始增多，大部分沿海电厂机组负荷较低。非电企业复工及基建加快，非电耗煤量有所提升，但在长协煤供应及高库存支撑下，整体市场采购需求释放仍显不足。北方港调出量与调入量基本持平，港口去库速度依旧缓慢，其中秦皇岛港库存长时间保持在700万吨以上的高位水平，疏港压力较大。在坑口和港口库存双双高企压力之下，煤矿存在被动减产可能，同时，进口低卡煤价格倒挂也可能对内贸形成一定支撑。综合判断，短期动力煤市场价格将缓慢下跌继续探底。建议电力企业关注后期港口去库进度和水泥等非电煤需求释放情况，维持合理库存。

     

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